Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 194.647181 227.691596 266.439110 315.697784 377.327634 452.800555 5.536531e+02
2025-06-22 143.177310 180.957939 230.081588 300.197524 400.398267 542.892956 7.696353e+02
2025-06-29 118.951237 158.281452 213.140814 298.150807 432.283446 646.866021 1.042543e+03
2025-07-06 103.148331 142.729541 201.015599 297.450855 462.603122 755.157266 1.372876e+03
2025-07-13 95.998297 137.835771 202.728197 317.248067 530.440377 951.312956 1.986918e+03
2025-07-20 91.223148 135.455312 207.425058 342.431316 615.152567 1216.679625 2.966555e+03
2025-07-27 83.591646 127.238917 200.838716 345.490482 657.080058 1409.678206 3.944065e+03
2025-08-03 78.137476 121.776791 197.932332 354.602605 714.602672 1670.628950 5.459546e+03
2025-08-10 72.193367 114.668465 190.884740 353.705558 748.846603 1889.147600 7.151912e+03
2025-08-17 67.674990 109.495001 186.612436 357.665156 796.539047 2179.028904 9.753686e+03
2025-08-24 63.231278 103.936168 180.785882 356.944535 831.980858 2454.738976 1.299501e+04
2025-08-31 59.345831 98.985414 175.480850 356.347995 867.977803 2762.212802 1.751290e+04
2025-09-07 57.075344 97.204233 177.121250 374.832777 975.611407 3497.323110 3.033148e+04
2025-09-14 51.700991 88.942015 164.251612 354.770517 954.946954 3645.159825 3.793091e+04
2025-09-21 48.351251 84.312661 158.554380 352.189079 993.536063 4152.524903 5.761266e+04
2025-09-28 45.506503 80.391745 153.867635 351.319212 1038.917014 4774.257169 9.287279e+04
2025-10-05 44.636826 80.379048 157.924851 375.897005 1195.987878 6419.405517 2.419240e+05
2025-10-12 44.134708 81.060914 163.688224 407.303877 1405.041601 9066.604567 9.769712e+05
2025-10-19 42.100641 78.258390 160.709286 411.129582 1493.902141 10936.541235 3.242742e+06
2025-10-26 40.621162 76.513246 160.090585 422.538130 1630.328919 13924.564038 2.906286e+07
2025-11-02 38.670065 73.542873 156.001660 421.414140 1701.929637 16453.086338 1.078445e+09
2025-11-09 37.148418 71.402064 153.783127 426.376894 1814.403329 20372.406997 NaN
2025-11-16 35.502167 68.836811 150.142414 425.473433 1893.490839 24344.012327 NaN